Cowboys vs Giants Best Bets
The Cowboys are favored to win on the moneyline at -165 odds. The spread is narrow at three points in favor of Dallas, but it’s expected to widen. The over/under is set at 46.5 points, with the under being the more favorable option.
Recent Performance and Head-to-Head Records
The Dallas Cowboys and New York Giants share a storied rivalry, with the Cowboys historically holding the upper hand. In recent years, the Cowboys have continued to dominate the head-to-head matchups. In 2022, Dallas swept the season series, winning both games decisively. They secured a comfortable road victory by a touchdown and followed it up with an eight-point win at home.
Examining their overall recent performance, both teams had successful 2022 seasons. The Giants, under new head coach Brian Daboll, made significant strides and secured a playoff berth. They finished the season with a 9-7-1 record, exceeding expectations. However, their success against the spread was even more notable, boasting a 13-4 record, making them one of the best teams for bettors last season.
On the other hand, the Cowboys continued their consistent regular season success, finishing with a 12-5 record. However, their playoff aspirations were cut short with a disappointing loss in the Divisional Round. Against the spread, they performed relatively well, achieving an 9-8 record.
Going into the 2023 season opener, the Cowboys are looking to continue their dominance over their NFC East rivals. The Giants, meanwhile, aim to prove that their improved performance last year wasn’t a fluke and that they can close the gap against Dallas.
Key Player Matchups and Injuries
The Cowboys vs. Giants matchup features intriguing player battles, but the injury front, particularly concerning Saquon Barkley, looms large. Barkley, a crucial piece of the Giants’ offense, finds himself in a contract dispute, leading to uncertainty about his availability for Week 1. This situation significantly impacts the game dynamics, making it a key factor for bettors to monitor closely.
On the Cowboys’ side, their star-studded defense, led by Micah Parsons, will pose a formidable challenge for Daniel Jones and the Giants’ offense. Parsons, aiming to build upon his Defensive Player of the Year-caliber performance last season, will be a constant threat, putting pressure on Jones and disrupting the Giants’ offensive rhythm. How the Giants’ offensive line contains Parsons will be crucial in determining their offensive success.
Offensively, the Cowboys will rely on the connection between Dak Prescott and CeeDee Lamb to exploit the Giants’ defense. Lamb, poised for another big season as the Cowboys’ primary receiving threat, will be a matchup nightmare for the Giants’ secondary. Limiting his impact will be a top priority for the Giants’ defensive game plan.
However, the most significant storyline revolves around Barkley’s status. His absence would be a considerable blow to the Giants, leaving a void in their offensive firepower. Conversely, his presence would significantly alter the complexion of the game, making the Giants a more formidable opponent. Monitoring his status as we approach Week 1 is paramount for anyone looking to place bets on this matchup.
Offensive and Defensive Strengths and Weaknesses
The Cowboys boast a potent offense spearheaded by Dak Prescott, but their success hinges on overcoming Prescott’s inconsistency and potential turnover issues. While a talented quarterback, Prescott’s tendency for interceptions, particularly in crucial moments, could plague the Cowboys. Conversely, the Giants’ offense, highly reliant on Saquon Barkley, appears vulnerable, especially if Barkley’s contract dispute lingers, leaving them without a reliable playmaker.
Defensively, the Cowboys stand as a formidable unit, anchored by their fearsome pass rush led by Micah Parsons. Their ability to generate pressure and disrupt opposing quarterbacks will be crucial in stifling the Giants’ offense. On the other hand, the Giants’ defense faces an uphill battle. They lack the star power and overall depth to match up effectively with the Cowboys’ offensive weapons, potentially making it a long day for the Giants’ defense.
The Cowboys’ offensive line, considered a strength, provides a solid foundation for their offensive success. However, the Giants’ offensive line presents a weakness, potentially struggling to contain the Cowboys’ defensive front and provide adequate protection for Daniel Jones. This mismatch in the trenches could tilt the game decisively in the Cowboys’ favor. Overall, the Cowboys appear to hold the edge on both sides of the ball. Their potent offense and formidable defense give them a clear advantage over a Giants team grappling with offensive inconsistency and defensive vulnerabilities.
Betting Odds and Trends
As of July 29٫ 2023٫ the Cowboys enter the matchup as favorites٫ with the moneyline hovering around -165٫ indicating a higher probability of a Cowboys victory. The spread٫ initially set at three points in favor of Dallas٫ is anticipated to widen٫ potentially reaching -4 by game day٫ reflecting the Cowboys’ perceived dominance and the Giants’ uncertainties٫ particularly surrounding Barkley’s availability.
The over/under for total points stands at 46.5. However, the under appears to be the more appealing bet. The Cowboys’ robust defense, known for limiting opponents’ scoring opportunities, coupled with the Giants’ offensive limitations, particularly if Barkley is absent or limited, suggests a lower-scoring affair. This defensive prowess, coupled with potential offensive struggles from the Giants, contributes to the inclination towards betting the under on total points.
Historically, the Cowboys have held an edge over the Giants, securing victories in their previous two encounters in 2022. This trend, along with the Giants’ questionable offensive firepower without a fully committed Barkley, further solidifies the Cowboys’ position as the favorites. However, the Giants, known for their ability to cover spreads, finishing last season with a 14-5 record against the spread, might make the spread a more intriguing betting option.
Expert Predictions and Picks
Given the Cowboys’ superior roster, particularly on offense with players like Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb, and Brandin Cooks, combined with a formidable defense led by Micah Parsons and DeMarcus Lawrence, experts predict a favorable outcome for Dallas. The Giants, facing offensive uncertainties with Saquon Barkley’s contract situation and a lack of proven receiving threats beyond, present a less convincing case.
While the spread might entice some bettors due to the Giants’ history of exceeding expectations against the spread, the Cowboys’ recent dominance in the matchup and the Giants’ potential offensive struggles make the moneyline a safer, albeit less lucrative, option. Betting on the Cowboys straight up at -165 odds offers a higher probability of winning, capitalizing on their overall team strength and the Giants’ uncertainties.
The over/under presents an intriguing proposition. While 46.5 points might seem attainable٫ the Cowboys’ stingy defense and the potential for a limited Giants offense٫ particularly if Barkley’s involvement is restricted٫ point towards the under as the more statistically sound wager.
Ultimately, the Cowboys enter this matchup as the clear favorites, and their odds reflect that. While the Giants might cover the spread, the Cowboys’ overall strength and the uncertainties surrounding the Giants’ offense make a Cowboys victory the most probable outcome. For those seeking a potentially higher payout, the under on the total points presents a statistically viable option, considering the defensive capabilities of both teams and the potential for offensive limitations on the Giants’ side.